In other words, not shocking, but we are still very much in “odds of winning the lottery” territory.
According to ESPN’s “Tuesday Morning Quarterback” column, predicting the exact score of the Super Bowl is a “total waste of everyone’s time” – and these are people who live and breathe American football for a living.
When I say scary, though, I mean scary in the way that it lights a fire under you to get ready for what we all know instinctively is coming.
As for the book itself: The first chapter is written in first person by Commander Z, then the rest of the book is a transcript written in a question and answer format moderated by “Dan Martingale” (a fake name, as the book points out).
On February 5th, 2017 over 111 million people tuned in to watch the Super Bowl game in which the Patriots played the Falcons.
While most people watched an incredibly intense and often unpredictable game with no idea who would win, a very small handful of people, including myself, were watching for another reason: before the Super Bowl game, on February 3rd, 2017, a Twitter user claimed that the final score of the game would have The Patriots winning 34 and The Falcons losing with only 28 points.
They go on to explain odds of prediction: “A decade ago, TMQ did an incredibly scientifically advanced calculation of the odds of predicting an NFL final score, if working within the band of probable score outcomes. You would predict no scores higher than 39 since finals this high are rare even when strong teams play weak ones: Only about 3 percent of NFL outcomes exceed 39 points.
I concluded there was roughly a 1-in-500 chance of an exact final score prediction being correct.” Slate Magazine has even smaller odds of prediction, explaining the process quite well: Suppose I gave you a week’s card with team names covered and asked you to fill in score predictions, not even knowing the teams’ identities. You would not predict the impossible final score of 1—although TMQ believes the Canadian singleton rule should be adopted in the NFL.
Only 3 percent of final scores are these “outliers.”This leaves 31 numbers in the selection band.On top of this, this tweet was used by Commander Z as a way to draw readers of his original tweet into learning about a much more serious situation that he wants to urgently warn people about: nuclear war is coming, and people need to start planning immediately.When he first tweeted, he also announced he would be coming out with a book that would explain everything.Now, before we get too deep into this, it is my duty as a writer to let you know the odds of someone predicting the exact score of the Super Bowl.Depending on what source you read, the chance of predicting the exact score can be anywhere from 1 in 15,000 to 1 in 500, with the most common being 1 in 1000.